Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 398.306418 451.662309 510.622493 580.796785 662.285378 754.218008 866.189313
2026-01-25 312.801869 381.459725 463.959933 571.138867 707.774313 877.574395 1106.803160
2026-02-01 275.923664 352.930605 450.743423 585.559210 768.837997 1012.627350 1367.043170
2026-02-08 243.637116 323.610831 429.779777 583.271221 803.219928 1112.808436 1592.017867
2026-02-15 217.671996 298.397050 409.624736 577.107623 828.251974 1199.652606 1807.441772
2026-02-22 199.792713 281.750293 398.525357 580.996529 866.287101 1308.041173 2069.963838
2026-03-01 181.480758 262.230123 380.662640 571.795023 881.813956 1381.898725 2286.239602
2026-03-08 167.300166 247.223930 367.629147 567.888725 904.147739 1468.065689 2535.363389
2026-03-15 151.233488 227.762908 345.707713 546.995715 895.213963 1499.272954 2689.263133
2026-03-22 145.652648 224.051365 347.994905 565.757998 955.466285 1658.225861 3108.463550
2026-03-29 141.351851 221.901768 352.412828 588.279603 1024.632667 1842.249571 3609.739590
2026-04-05 133.576954 213.344874 345.320145 589.674769 1054.877307 1956.146872 3985.866061
2026-04-12 123.900668 201.043019 331.151486 577.500959 1059.187149 2022.091615 4276.399740
2026-04-19 115.338409 190.008017 318.295933 566.513027 1064.625369 2091.437564 4589.536826
2026-04-26 111.492623 186.823032 318.967753 580.990767 1122.613839 2279.245562 5221.596997
2026-05-03 105.571086 179.479065 311.451746 578.697690 1145.438634 2393.514409 5695.729166
2026-05-10 99.665920 171.717623 302.507568 572.592950 1159.239251 2489.153403 6141.987560
2026-05-17 95.541049 166.907575 298.688036 576.446435 1195.154716 2641.511811 6776.393766
2026-05-24 90.171359 159.396203 289.101359 567.327668 1200.696544 2721.367616 7223.978281
2026-05-31 85.836677 153.548536 282.303427 563.456402 1217.839314 2832.611241 7790.924735
2026-06-07 79.974051 144.397372 268.322730 542.750189 1192.776347 2832.137241 8014.913170
2026-06-14 78.703784 144.080024 272.020975 561.344773 1264.962717 3098.994698 9161.399116
2026-06-21 77.827021 144.465375 277.156517 583.663985 1349.375745 3414.077640 10562.483769